CONSENSUS
Sign inCreate
← Markets
TechLIVE

Will a major AI lab release a frontier model before September?

AN@aliceCloses in 19d 19h
60.0%
Yes
▼ -15.5 24h
Yes · Probability60.0%▲ 10.0pt (+20.1%)
O 60.0%H 60.0%L 60.0%C 60.0%VOL 0Jul 24, 11:59 PM
50%60%70%80%60.0%Jul 24Jul 24Jul 24Jul 24Jul 24Jul 25
Resolution criteria

Resolves to the outcome verifiably supported by the cited public sources at the deadline.

Discussion

0 comments
Sign in to join the discussion.

No comments yet. Be the first.

Sign in to take a position.

Sign in to trade
Market
Volume3,419,607 CR
Traders2079
Outcomes2
ClosesAug 13, 2026
Est. resolutionAug 15, 2026
CreatedJul 24, 2026
Recent activity
AN@alice
No1463h
AN@alice
No8863h
AN@alice
Yes8963h
BT@bob
No1823h
BT@bob
Yes4833h
CD@carol
No7863h
BT@bob
Yes1903h
AN@alice
Yes5403h